{"id":1512,"date":"2019-09-10T11:24:00","date_gmt":"2019-09-10T11:24:00","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2024-07-02T14:20:51","modified_gmt":"2024-07-02T08:50:51","slug":"is-it-worth-to-predict-the-stock-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/is-it-worth-to-predict-the-stock-market\/","title":{"rendered":"Is It Worth to Predict The Stock Market?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"bsf_rt_marker\"><\/div>\n<p>The festive season has begun. I decided to go shopping with a friend. As I waited for my friend on the skywalk, which leads to the market, I saw a little boy throwing paper planes in the air.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/what-is-the-stock-market\">What is Stock Market<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/stock-market-analysis-how-to-analyze-stock-market-trends\">Stock Market Analysis<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/understanding-bull-markets-in-the-indian-stock-market-for-maximum-profits\">Bull Market<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/how-to-invest-in-stock-market\/\">How to Invest in Stock Market<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>I know he was littering in one way, but the excitement on the little boy\u2019s face was priceless. So despite being a supporter of Swachh Bharat Campaign myself, I thought it prudent not to stop him. I am sure we all have done such things as children and enjoyed the same thoroughly.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Coming back to the little boy, he had around 10-20 paper planes which he was throwing in the air from the skywalk after a gap of a few minutes. I noticed another little boy standing on the road below the skywalk, waiting to collect those paper planes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/stock-market-basics\/\">Stock Market Basics<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/best-stock-market-investments\">Best Stock Market Investment<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/stock-market-holidays-2024-revealed\">Stock Market Holidays<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/stock-market-indexes\/\">Market Indices<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Few of those paper planes launched in the air went very high in the air. Some went far and out of sight. There was one absolute certainty which the little boy standing below on the road knew: eventually, after taking some unknown flight path, at some random location nearby, the paper planes will hit the ground and this was guaranteed!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As I watched the entire episode, I found an interesting similarity with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/what-is-stock-market-and-how-it-works\/\">stock market<\/a> investment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/top-10-stock-market-movies-you-must-watch\/\">Stock Market Movies<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/understanding-nifty-your-key-to-the-indian-stock-market\">What is Nifty<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/stock-market-timings\/\">Stock Market Timings<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/best-stock-market-tips-for-investing\/\">Share Market Tips<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>We often hear investors talking about new targets for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/what-is-sensex-the-complete-guide\/\">Sensex<\/a> &#8211; 40k by Diwali, 42k by Christmas and many such. We also come across investors who talk about a looming <a href=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/key-global-events-that-can-influence-the-stock-market-this-week-3\/\">global<\/a> recession which will push Sensex back to 30k levels or below. In short, we have different types of investors who are trying to guess the next movement in the market.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Just like the paper airplanes which never took a predictable path and yet one could predict the final outcome, in stock markets too it is difficult to predict the direction of the stock market in the short term, but we definitely know in which direction the stock markets will move in the long term.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Because in the long term it is higher corporate earnings and better economic conditions that drive the market, unlike in the short term, where any random incidents such as US-China trade wars, hike in oil prices, terror attacks, NBFC crisis etc. can affect the market. In short, long-term growth of markets is heavily dependent on the growth of the Indian economy. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/what-is-sensex-the-complete-guide\/\">What is Sensex<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/a-comprehensive-bear-market-guide-understanding-navigating-and-investing-smartly\/\">Bear Market<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/national-stock-exchange-of-india-functions-features-and-top-companies\/\">What is NSE<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/explore-bombay-stock-exchange-what-is-bse-advantages-of-listing-and-investment-methods\/\">What is BSE<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/sebi-registered-investment-advisor-meaning-eligibility\/\">What is SEBI<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>In the short term, markets always witness extreme volatilities. Here are a few examples:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>When Prime Minister Modi got re-elected for a 2nd term in May 2019, Sensex and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/understanding-nifty-your-key-to-the-indian-stock-market\/\">Nifty<\/a> touched new highs of 40k and 12k levels respectively.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Post the introduction of enhanced FPI surcharge in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/union-budget-2024-which-sectors-does-it-favour\/\">budget<\/a> 2019, Sensex lost more than 7% and eroded more than Rs. 14 lakh crore<a href=\"https:\/\/www.researchandranking.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> wealth <\/a>over the next few months.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>When the finance ministry rolled back the enhanced FPI surcharge on 26th August 2019, Sensex and Nifty moved up by 793 and 228.50 points respectively.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>On 20th September 2019 when the finance minister announced cuts in corporate <a href=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/income-tax-concepts-the-ultimate-guide\/\">tax<\/a>, the Sensex jumped by 1921 points.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>It is of no use trying to guess the next movement in the market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Markets are highly volatile now, and many quality businesses have corrected significantly due to recent market corrections. By investing in good quality businesses, anybody can ensure that their investment portfolio too will rise when the market rises, which it surely will over the next few years, given India\u2019s long term growth story, strong consumption-driven economy and a reform-centric government at the center.<\/p>\n\n\n\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"section\" data-elementor-id=\"9185\" class=\"elementor elementor-9185\" data-elementor-post-type=\"elementor_library\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-e92a158 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"e92a158\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-65b41f6\" data-id=\"65b41f6\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a613ee7 elementor-widget elementor-widget-shortcode\" data-id=\"a613ee7\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"shortcode.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-shortcode\">\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"section\" data-elementor-id=\"6844\" class=\"elementor elementor-6844\" data-elementor-post-type=\"elementor_library\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-2efdbd0d elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"2efdbd0d\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-783deaaa\" data-id=\"783deaaa\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-c60a2cc elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"c60a2cc\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Related investing topics<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-inner-section elementor-element elementor-element-3e3de9dd elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"3e3de9dd\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-25 elementor-inner-column elementor-element elementor-element-40fd5db7\" data-id=\"40fd5db7\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-757ca8cb ekit-equal-height-enable elementor-widget elementor-widget-elementskit-icon-box\" data-id=\"757ca8cb\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"elementskit-icon-box.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"ekit-wid-con\" >        <!-- link opening -->\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.researchandranking.com\/how-to-invest-in-share-market-guide\/\" class=\"ekit_global_links\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\n                <!-- end link opening -->\n\n        <div class=\"elementskit-infobox text- text- icon-lef-right-aligin elementor-animation-  gradient-active  hover_from_left\">\n                        <div class=\"box-body\">\n                            <h3 class=\"elementskit-info-box-title\">\n                    How to Invest in Share Market?                <\/h3>\n                        \t\t  \t<p>Considering the volatility, investing in stock markets is both an art and science.<\/p>\n                                <\/div>\n        \n        \n                <\/div>\n                <\/a>\n        <\/div>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-25 elementor-inner-column elementor-element elementor-element-601073c\" data-id=\"601073c\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8b38507 ekit-equal-height-enable elementor-widget elementor-widget-elementskit-icon-box\" data-id=\"8b38507\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"elementskit-icon-box.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"ekit-wid-con\" >        <!-- link opening -->\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.researchandranking.com\/looking-for-one-multi-bagger-today-here-are-54-that-multiplied-investors-wealth\/\" class=\"ekit_global_links\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\n                <!-- end link opening -->\n\n        <div class=\"elementskit-infobox text- text- icon-lef-right-aligin elementor-animation-  gradient-active  hover_from_left\">\n                        <div class=\"box-body\">\n                            <h3 class=\"elementskit-info-box-title\">\n                    5 Best Places To Live After Retirement In India                <\/h3>\n                        \t\t  \t<p>While some retired people set sail on voyages worldwide, others look forward to spending their time in relaxation and comfort.<\/p>\n                                <\/div>\n        \n        \n                <\/div>\n                <\/a>\n        <\/div>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-25 elementor-inner-column elementor-element elementor-element-7e5723c\" data-id=\"7e5723c\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-551526b ekit-equal-height-enable elementor-widget elementor-widget-elementskit-icon-box\" data-id=\"551526b\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"elementskit-icon-box.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"ekit-wid-con\" >        <!-- link opening -->\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.researchandranking.com\/90-percent-lose-money-in-stocks\/\" class=\"ekit_global_links\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\n                <!-- end link opening -->\n\n        <div class=\"elementskit-infobox text- text- icon-lef-right-aligin elementor-animation-  gradient-active  hover_from_left\">\n                        <div class=\"box-body\">\n                            <h3 class=\"elementskit-info-box-title\">\n                    90% People Lose Money in Stocks?                <\/h3>\n                        \t\t  \t<p>Isn't it shocking? But it is a fact. There are countless reasons why investors lose money in stock markets.<\/p>\n                                <\/div>\n        \n        \n                <\/div>\n                <\/a>\n        <\/div>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-25 elementor-inner-column elementor-element elementor-element-6dc0c61\" data-id=\"6dc0c61\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-eb5233e ekit-equal-height-enable elementor-widget elementor-widget-elementskit-icon-box\" data-id=\"eb5233e\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"elementskit-icon-box.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"ekit-wid-con\" >        <!-- link opening -->\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.researchandranking.com\/is-long-term-investing-always-safe\/\" class=\"ekit_global_links\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\n                <!-- end link opening -->\n\n        <div class=\"elementskit-infobox text- text- icon-lef-right-aligin elementor-animation-  gradient-active  hover_from_left\">\n                        <div class=\"box-body\">\n                            <h3 class=\"elementskit-info-box-title\">\n                    Is Long Term Investing Always Safe?                <\/h3>\n                        \t\t  \t<p>Let\u2019s understand what long-term means before we explain why Long Term Investing may not always be safe.<\/p>\n                                <\/div>\n        \n        \n                <\/div>\n                <\/a>\n        <\/div>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Read more: &nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/timesofindia.indiatimes.com\/blogs\/voices\/long-term-investing-helps-create-life-changing-wealth\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">How Long-term investing helps create life-changing wealth \u2013 TOI<\/a>.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The festive season has begun. I decided to go shopping with a friend. As I waited for my friend on [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":1513,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[1581],"class_list":["post-1512","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investing","tag-what-is-stock-market"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1512","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1512"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1512\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1513"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1512"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1512"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1512"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}