{"id":1570,"date":"2021-01-01T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2021-01-01T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2023-05-16T06:52:20","modified_gmt":"2023-05-16T06:52:20","slug":"noise-an-investors-dilemma","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/noise-an-investors-dilemma\/","title":{"rendered":"Noise: An Investor&#8217;s Dilemma!"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"bsf_rt_marker\"><\/div><p>In our previous article, we spoke to you yesterday about 2 types of investors, let us start by showing you 2 charts showcasing Automobile Production in India and how you are forced to think negatively with the noise outside.<\/p>\n<p>Chart 1 showcases the trend line over the past 18 odd months.<\/p>\n<p>Chart 2 showcases the trend line over the past 20 odd years.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Chart 1<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Chart 2<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Chart 1 shouts out that India is going through an extremely rough phase, and if the chart is to be believed, doom is something we would see ahead.<\/p>\n<p>Chart 2 shows a longer trend and shows a completely different picture. The trend line shows what to expect in the future.<\/p>\n<p>Let me highlight a couple of pointers to you on this:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ol>\n<li>To start, check the phase between 1997 &amp; 1999, automobile production was flat and then had a fall. And after that, they jumped up. <strong><strong>The same has got repeated each and every time the line dips for a short period.<\/strong><\/strong><\/li>\n<li>Every time there has been a dip, there is usually a big jump up that follows.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>The automobile production has had a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/what-is-cagr-compound-annual-growth-rate-meaning-formula\/\">CAGR<\/a> increase of 10%+ if I look at the data over the past 19-20 years.<\/p>\n<p>It really amuses us when all the noise out there is only about short term happenings and spelling doom for the future.<\/p>\n<p>The good part of the story \u2013 every time this has happened \u2013 in 1999-2000 or in 2008-2009 \u2013 if an investor ignored the noise and preferred to be Type 2 investor, he would have been a participant in the big bull runs that followed.<\/p>\n<p>But, if you are a Type 1 investor who invests only when everything looks green and wonderful&#8230; not sure what I can say to that approach.<\/p>\n<p>And in view of the phase that we are at currently going through, data suggests that we will see a repeat of or rather see a bigger bull run in the coming few years.<\/p>\n\n\n<p><strong>Read more: \u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/timesofindia.indiatimes.com\/blogs\/voices\/long-term-investing-helps-create-life-changing-wealth\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">How Long-term investing helps create life-changing wealth \u2013 TOI<\/a>.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In our previous article, we spoke to you yesterday about 2 types of investors, let us start by showing you 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