{"id":54332,"date":"2025-03-31T17:47:06","date_gmt":"2025-03-31T12:17:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/?p=54332"},"modified":"2025-03-31T17:47:08","modified_gmt":"2025-03-31T12:17:08","slug":"golds-32-rally-in-fy25-will-prices-touch-%e2%82%b91-lakh-in-fy26","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/golds-32-rally-in-fy25-will-prices-touch-%e2%82%b91-lakh-in-fy26\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold\u2019s 32% Rally in FY25\u2014Will Prices Touch \u20b91 Lakh in FY26?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"bsf_rt_marker\"><\/div>\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Gold prices have reached an all-time high, surging past $3,100 per ounce for the first time. This remarkable rally has been fueled by growing concerns over U.S. trade tariffs, geopolitical tensions, and increasing economic uncertainty.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Investors looking for a haven have turned to gold as a hedge against market volatility and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/10-common-effects-of-inflation-on-the-economy\/\">inflation<\/a>. Spot gold prices recently hit a record-breaking $3,106.50 per ounce, marking a significant milestone this year in the precious metal\u2019s journey. Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/economictimes.indiatimes.com\/markets\/commodities\/news\/gold-surges-past-3100-as-us-tariffs-uncertainty-propel-safe-haven-flows\/articleshow\/119785432.cms?from=mdr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Economic Times<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>Gold Outshines Equities in FY25 with a 32% Surge in Domestic Markets<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>In the Indian market, the Financial Year 2024-25 emerged as a golden year for gold, significantly outperforming equities. As per MCX data, Indian spot gold prices surged 32% in FY25, while the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/understanding-nifty-your-key-to-the-indian-stock-market\/\">Nifty<\/a> 50 registered a modest gain of just over 5%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On March 28, 2024, gold prices stood near \u20b967,000 per 10 grams, rising sharply to approximately \u20b988,700 within a year. In the derivatives market, MCX Gold futures settled marginally higher on March 28, closing 0.05% at \u20b988,850 per 10 grams. Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.livemint.com\/market\/commodities\/gold-price-outlook-gold-rates-in-india-jump-32-in-fy25-can-they-hit-1-lakh-mark-in-fy26-11743309723927.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">LiveMint<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com\/docsz\/AD_4nXd5vDTm8HwB5-FzU1UFCTwEws5f3dsJiB3i5DFoHmsxSanR7tTrQ0JSmD8gIcI7RztnD59f5OzD0tcjpUik7sUvtfixDUZYXZ7b1KtrRLkjgVTCrxNaChaMY4hzqe1SJPTq1CIFug?key=0jIblR2UnRRMpocV4nm1DCF9\" alt=\"\" style=\"width:482px;height:auto\" title=\"Chart\"><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.livemint.com\/market\/commodities\/gold-price-outlook-gold-rates-in-india-jump-32-in-fy25-can-they-hit-1-lakh-mark-in-fy26-11743309723927.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">LiveMint<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-large-font-size\"><strong>Can Gold Prices Reach \u20b91 Lakh in FY26?&nbsp;<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>According to market experts, gold\u2019s outlook for FY26 remains bullish, supported by geopolitical uncertainty, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/why-startup-investments-are-booming-a-startup-investors-guide\/\">central bank<\/a> buying, and potential US Federal Reserve rate cuts. Emerging market central banks are likely to continue accumulating gold, which could push prices higher. If interest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/old-tax-regime-slabs\/\">rates<\/a> decline, a weaker dollar could further drive gold demand, possibly taking it to $3,200. Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.livemint.com\/market\/commodities\/gold-price-outlook-gold-rates-in-india-jump-32-in-fy25-can-they-hit-1-lakh-mark-in-fy26-11743309723927.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">LiveMint<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h6 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Experts believe gold could breach the \u20b91 lakh mark if major global events unfold, such as:<\/h6>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>A deeper trade war<\/strong> &#8211; A prolonged trade war between major economies, such as the U.S. and China, could disrupt <a href=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/key-global-events-that-can-influence-the-stock-market-this-week-3\/\">global<\/a> supply chains, weaken currencies, and drive investors toward gold as a hedge against economic instability.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Escalations in the Middle East or Russia-Ukraine conflict<\/strong> &#8211; Rising geopolitical tensions could trigger market volatility, energy price surges, and inflationary pressures, leading investors to seek safe-haven assets like gold, pushing prices toward the \u20b91 lakh mark.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Signs of stagflation in the US economy<\/strong> &#8211; If the U.S. experiences slow economic growth alongside high inflation, investors may lose confidence in equities and the dollar, increasing gold\u2019s appeal as a stable store of value amid economic uncertainty.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>Realistic Projections<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Per market analysts, domestic gold prices in India could reach around \u20b995,000 per 10 grams by the end of FY26. While long-term fundamentals remain strong, additional catalysts like severe currency depreciation or geopolitical shocks would be needed for gold to surpass \u20b91 lakh per 10 grams. Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.livemint.com\/market\/commodities\/gold-price-outlook-gold-rates-in-india-jump-32-in-fy25-can-they-hit-1-lakh-mark-in-fy26-11743309723927.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">LiveMint<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-large-font-size\"><strong>5 Reasons Why Gold Prices Are Rising?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Gold has always been considered a safe-haven asset, especially during financial uncertainty. Several key factors are driving this rapid surge in gold prices:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>U.S. Tariff Concerns<\/strong>: Policies introduced by&nbsp; U.S. President Donald Trump, including a proposed 25% tariff on imported cars and additional tariffs on Chinese imports, have fueled market instability. These uncertainties have pushed investors toward gold as a protective measure.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Geopolitical Tensions<\/strong>: Ongoing conflicts and diplomatic tensions worldwide, especially involving major economies, have led investors to seek the stability of gold.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Inflation and Economic Worries<\/strong>: With inflation rates rising, the value of paper currency is diminishing, making gold an attractive alternative.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Strong Central Bank Demand<\/strong>: Many central banks, including those in China and India, are increasing their gold reserves, further boosting demand.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) Inflows<\/strong>: A rise in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/mukul-agrawal-portfolio-shareholdings-investments-all-you-need-to-know\/\">investments<\/a> into gold-backed ETFs has contributed to the soaring prices.  <\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/economictimes.indiatimes.com\/markets\/commodities\/news\/gold-surges-past-3100-as-us-tariffs-uncertainty-propel-safe-haven-flows\/articleshow\/119785432.cms?from=mdr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Economic Times<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-large-font-size\"><strong>A Year of Record-Breaking Highs<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Gold prices have been consistently upward throughout the year, gaining more than 18% so far. Earlier this month, gold broke the psychological $3,000 per ounce barrier for the first time, reflecting a growing sense of economic instability among investors. Analysts suggest that this bullish trend will continue as global economic uncertainty persists.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-large-font-size\"><strong>Banks Adjust Their Gold Price Forecasts<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Given the extraordinary rally, several major financial institutions have revised their gold price forecasts upward:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Goldman Sachs<\/strong> predicts gold will reach $3,300 per ounce by year-end, increasing from their earlier estimate of $3,100.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Bank of America (BofA)<\/strong> has adjusted its expectations, forecasting gold to trade at $3,063 per ounce in 2025 and $3,350 per ounce in 2026, up from previous estimates of $2,750 and $2,625, respectively.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>UBS<\/strong> and other investment firms have also raised their gold price targets, anticipating continued bullish momentum. Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/economictimes.indiatimes.com\/markets\/commodities\/news\/gold-surges-past-3100-as-us-tariffs-uncertainty-propel-safe-haven-flows\/articleshow\/119785432.cms?from=mdr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Economic Times<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-large-font-size\"><strong>Challenges: Slowing Demand and Market Competition<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite strong fundamentals, most bullish factors are already factored into current gold prices. Gold may consolidate at higher levels without fresh triggers due to demand fatigue and profit booking. A <a href=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/what-is-stock-market-and-how-it-works\/\">stock market<\/a> rebound and a stronger US dollar could pose significant challenges to further price gains.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While short-term corrections are possible, gold\u2019s long-term fundamentals suggest continued investor interest in FY26. The yellow metal is expected to remain a preferred safe-haven asset as uncertainty persists.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-large-font-size\"><strong>What\u2019s Next for Gold Prices?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Market experts believe that gold prices will likely continue their upward climb unless geopolitical risks subside and economic uncertainty stabilizes. Factors such as future U.S. trade policies, global inflation trends, and central bank decisions will be crucial in determining the metal\u2019s future trajectory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Experts believe that tariff disputes will keep pushing gold prices upward until the ongoing trade war is resolved. Meanwhile, strong central bank demand and rising ETF inflows will further fuel this rally.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Final Thoughts<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Gold\u2019s rise past $3,100 per ounce shows its strong appeal as a safe-haven asset. With economic uncertainty, inflation, and global tensions, investors continue to rely on it. While prices may stabilize or climb further, gold remains highly valued. 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height: auto;\" width=\"50\" height=\"50\" src=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Top-7-ETFs-to-Invest-in-for-2025-70x70.jpg\" class=\"attachment-50x50 size-50x50\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Top-7-ETFs-to-Invest-in-for-2025-70x70.jpg 70w, https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Top-7-ETFs-to-Invest-in-for-2025-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Top-7-ETFs-to-Invest-in-for-2025-640x651.jpg 640w, https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Top-7-ETFs-to-Invest-in-for-2025-96x96.jpg 96w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 50px) 100vw, 50px\" title=\"\"><\/a><\/div><div class=\"crp-list-item-title\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/top-7-etfs-to-invest-in-for-2025\/\">Top 7 ETFs to Invest in for 2025<\/a><\/div><\/li><li class=\"crp-list-item crp-list-item-image-left crp-list-item-has-image\"><div class=\"crp-list-item-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/vodafone-idea-surge-over-20-after-govt-converts-36950-cr-dues-into-equity\/\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"max-width: 50px; height: auto;\" width=\"50\" height=\"50\" src=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Govt-Converts-Rs.-36950-crore-Dues-into-Equity-70x70.jpg\" class=\"attachment-50x50 size-50x50\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Govt-Converts-Rs.-36950-crore-Dues-into-Equity-70x70.jpg 70w, https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Govt-Converts-Rs.-36950-crore-Dues-into-Equity-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Govt-Converts-Rs.-36950-crore-Dues-into-Equity-640x650.jpg 640w, https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Govt-Converts-Rs.-36950-crore-Dues-into-Equity-96x96.jpg 96w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 50px) 100vw, 50px\" title=\"\"><\/a><\/div><div class=\"crp-list-item-title\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/vodafone-idea-surge-over-20-after-govt-converts-36950-cr-dues-into-equity\/\">Vodafone Idea Shares Surge over 20% After Govt Converts \u20b936,950 Cr Dues Into Equity<\/a><\/div><\/li><\/ul><\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"has-ast-global-color-5-color has-vivid-red-background-color has-text-color has-background has-link-color wp-elements-499db7743cd6e0732dbcf68b165a209c\">Disclaimer Note: The securities quoted, if any, are for illustration only and are not recommendatory. This article is for education purposes only and shall not be considered as a recommendation or investment advice by Equentis &#8211; Research &amp; Ranking. We will not be liable for any losses that may occur. Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related documents carefully before investing. Registration granted by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/sebi-registered-investment-advisor-meaning-eligibility\/\">SEBI<\/a>, membership of BASL &amp; the certification from NISM in no way guarantee the performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">FAQs<\/h2>\n\n\n<div class=\"saswp-faq-block-section\"><ol style=\"list-style-type:none\"><li style=\"list-style-type: none\"><h3 class=\"\"><strong>Why is gold&#8217;s price surging past $3,100?<\/strong><\/h3><p class=\"saswp-faq-answer-text\">Gold&#8217;s rise is due to increased safe-haven demand, fueled by U.S. tariff concerns and global economic uncertainty. Investors seek gold to hedge against potential market instability and geopolitical risks.<\/p><li style=\"list-style-type: none\"><h3 class=\"\"><strong>What impact do U.S. tariffs have on gold prices?<\/strong><\/h3><p class=\"saswp-faq-answer-text\">U.S. tariffs create economic uncertainty, prompting investors to seek safe-haven assets like gold. This increased demand drives gold prices higher as investors try to protect their assets.<\/p><li style=\"list-style-type: none\"><h3 class=\"\"><strong>How does geopolitical uncertainty affect gold&#8217;s value?<\/strong><\/h3><p class=\"saswp-faq-answer-text\">Geopolitical tensions increase market volatility. In such times, gold is seen as a stable asset. This safe-haven demand pushes gold prices up, as investors seek to minimize risk.<\/p><li style=\"list-style-type: none\"><h3 class=\"\"><strong>Is this gold price surge expected to continue?<\/strong><\/h3><p class=\"saswp-faq-answer-text\">Analyst forecasts vary, but current trends suggest continued upward pressure on gold prices. Factors like ongoing trade tensions and economic uncertainty will dictate future price movements.<\/p><\/ul><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold prices have reached an all-time high, surging past $3,100 per ounce for the first time ever. This remarkable rally has been fueled by growing concerns over U.S. trade tariffs, geopolitical tensions, and increasing economic uncertainty.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":54333,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[948,11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-54332","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-stock-market-news","category-economy"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54332","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=54332"}],"version-history":[{"count":12,"href":"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54332\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":54346,"href":"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54332\/revisions\/54346"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/54333"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=54332"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=54332"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.equentis.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=54332"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}