News

This category will talk of the news of the day and our analysis of the event.

The primary indices, NIFTY and SENSEX, broke their 10-day slump as they closed positive on 5th February 2025. As the market is reviving and many companies’ share prices are taking the upward path, the four major companies- SBI Life Insurance, Metro Brands, Bisil Plast, and Pradhin- are entering the spotlight due to their corporate actions. What are the announcements, how are the stocks trading near ex-date, and how has it affected their share prices? Let’s understand. 

What does it mean by a stock trading near ex-date?

When a stock is trading near its ex-date, it is close to the cutoff point, where investors must own the stock to qualify for upcoming dividends or other corporate benefits. The ex-date is typically set one business day before the record date (in a T+1 settlement system), meaning that any purchase made on or after the ex-date will not carry the right to the declared dividend. 

Say you are considering buying shares of XYZ Ltd., which has declared a Rs.10 dividend per share. The record date is March 10, meaning the ex-date is March 9.

  • If you buy the stock on March 8 or earlier, you qualify for the dividend.
  • If you buy the stock on or after March 9, you won’t receive the dividend, as the entitlement remains with the seller.

Understanding this timing is crucial, especially for short-term traders and dividend investors looking to optimize their positions.

Shares Trading Near The Ex-date:

The corporate actions taken by four major companies have put them in the headlines for the day as they are trading near ex-date. 

SBI Life Insurance:

SBI Life Insurance, one of India’s most trusted life insurance providers, has been serving customers since its incorporation in October 2000. Offering a diverse portfolio of Protection, Pension, Savings, and Health solutions, the company ensures widespread accessibility through its extensive network of 1,086 offices, nearly 26,000 employees, over 2.4 lakh agents, and multiple corporate partnerships. 

As of the nine months ending December 2024, SBI Life reported assets under management (AUM) of Rs.4,41,700 crore, a 19% year-on-year growth, while its net profit stood at Rs.1,080 crore for the same period. 

Following a Board of Directors meeting on 28th February 2025, SBI Life announced an interim dividend of Rs.2.70 per equity share for FY2024-25, reflecting a 27% payout on the share’s face value of Rs.10. 

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Source: MoneyControl

Investors tracking the stock may observe adjustments around the ex-date, as share prices often reflect dividend payouts. Market activity around the stock as of 6th March 2025 is consistent, with no major fluctuation. However, considering the general price movement of stocks that trade near ex-date, it is important to stay vigilant with the price changes in the future. 

Metro Brands:

Metro Brands, a leading Indian footwear retail company, has been catering to diverse consumer preferences since its establishment in 1955. Known for its “Metro” brand and other brands like Mochi and Walkway, the company offers a wide range of footwear and accessories across various price points. With a strong physical store presence across India, Metro Brands has grown into one of the largest specialty footwear retailers in the country.

The company has announced two dividends for FY25—an interim dividend of Rs.3 per share and a special dividend of Rs.14.50 per share. The record date for both dividends is March 7, 2025, determining shareholder eligibility for the payout. The stock will trade ex-dividend on the same day, reflecting the dividend adjustment.

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Source: NSE

For the December 2024 quarter, Metro Brands reported a net profit of Rs.95.08 crore, a decline of nearly 4% compared to the previous year. Earlier, the stock saw a significant movement on 3rd February, gaining over 7% following the Union Budget announcement, which included incentives for the footwear industry and adjustments in income tax slabs. The stock traded at Rs.1,325, up 7.18% as of February 1. While budget-driven market reactions led to a sharp increase, post the dividend announcement, stock price fluctuations have been minimal

Bisil Plast:

Bisil Plast Limited, formerly known as Bisleri Gujarat Limited, is an Ahmedabad-based company engaged in the wholesale distribution of PET bottles, jars, and related packaging products. Incorporated in 1986, it primarily supplies pharmaceutical, FMCG, and bottling industries. The company rebranded as Bisil Plast Limited in 2008, strengthening its presence in the packaging sector. For the June 2024 quarter, Bisil Plast reported a net profit of Rs.0.52 lakh.

The company has announced a Rights Issue under which 48.62 crore equity shares will be issued at Rs.1 per share. Shareholders holding shares as of the record date, 8th March 2025, will be entitled to 9 new equity shares for every 1 share held. Investors who do not wish to subscribe can renounce their rights. The stock will trade ex-date for the Rights Issue tomorrow, reflecting the valuation adjustment based on the additional shares being issued.

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Source: MoneyControl

While Rights Issues can lead to price adjustments due to share dilution, there has been no major fluctuation in the stock price following the announcement.

Pradhin Limited:

Pradhin Limited, formerly Bhagwandas Metals Limited, is a public company engaged in selling food, groceries, cosmetics, and other consumer goods. Incorporated in 1982, the company has expanded its presence across multiple retail categories. For the September 2024 quarter, Pradhin reported net sales of Rs.82.93 crore, reflecting a 3,238.96% increase from Rs.2.48 crore in the same quarter last year. Its quarterly net profit stood at Rs.0.82 crore, up 1,997.7%, while EBITDA rose to Rs.0.70 crore, marking a 1,650% growth.

The company has announced two corporate actions: a Bonus Issue of 2 additional shares for every 1 existing share and a Stock Split, where 1 equity share of Rs.10 face value will be split into 10 shares of Rs.1 each. The record date for both actions is March 7, 2025, determining shareholder eligibility. As the stock approaches the ex-date, no major fluctuation was recorded as of 6th March 2025.

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Source: MoneyControl

As these corporate actions unfold, investors tracking these stocks may observe price adjustments as they trade near their respective ex-dates. Dividends, rights issues, and bonus shares often lead to price recalibrations based on payout amounts, dilution effects, and broader market sentiment. While some stocks have seen significant movements in recent weeks, the fluctuations post-announcement have remained minimal in some instances.

For those monitoring these stocks, staying informed about corporate actions, record dates, and market reactions is essential to understanding how such events might impact their holdings. Before making investment decisions, conducting thorough research and analyzing stock performance trends can help evaluate potential opportunities and risks.

The Indian rupee opened 4 paise higher against the U.S. dollar today, reflecting a complex interplay of global economic factors, including a declining U.S. dollar index and falling crude oil prices. While a 4 paise appreciation may seem insignificant, it holds substantial implications for India’s trade balance, inflation trajectory, and capital inflows. 

Currency market movements often reflect broader macroeconomic trends, investor sentiment, and policy actions undertaken by central banks and governments worldwide. The recent shift in the rupee’s value coincides with heightened volatility in global markets. 

The U.S. dollar has been on a downward trajectory amid concerns over trade tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, slowing economic growth, and the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance on interest rate hikes. Meanwhile, crude oil prices have declined, reducing import costs for India, a net oil importer. These factors combined have strengthened the rupee’s position against the greenback.

To understand the broader economic implications, it is essential to examine the driving forces behind the rupee’s appreciation, the global market dynamics influencing currency movements, and how this affects Indian businesses and the economy. 

Over the past five years, the Indian rupee (INR) has experienced notable fluctuations against the U.S. dollar (USD), influenced by various global and domestic economic factors. Below is a summary of the annual average exchange rates from 2020 to 2024:

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Source: XE Currency Charts.

Note*: Exchange rates are subject to fluctuations due to various economic factors, including inflation rates, interest rates, foreign investment, and geopolitical events.

Factors Driving Rupee Appreciation

  1. Weakening U.S. Dollar Index: The U.S. dollar index (DXY), which tracks the dollar’s value against a basket of six major currencies, has declined nearly 3% this week, hitting its lowest level since November 2024. This decline has been fueled by fears of an economic slowdown in the U.S. due to recently imposed tariffs on key trading partners, including China, Canada, and Mexico. Investors have been paring their long bets on the dollar, shifting towards emerging market currencies like the rupee (Reuters).
  2. Falling Crude Oil Prices: Brent crude oil prices have dropped from $78.92 per barrel in October 2024 to $70.50 per barrel. Since crude imports account for a significant portion of India’s trade deficit, lower oil prices help ease pressure on the rupee, reducing outflows and improving the country’s current account balance (MoneyControl).
  3. Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) Intervention: The RBI has been actively intervening in the forex markets to manage excessive volatility. By selling dollars and purchasing rupees within the 87.40-87.50 range, the central bank has stabilized the currency and boosted investor confidence.

Global Market Dynamics and Their Impact

1. U.S. Economic Policy and Tariffs

The Trump administration’s decision to impose fresh tariffs on Chinese, Canadian, and Mexican goods has escalated trade tensions, triggering a risk-off sentiment in global markets. While these tariffs aim to protect domestic industries, they have increased costs for American businesses reliant on imported goods. The ripple effect of these tariffs is visible in declining consumer confidence, with the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index dropping 7 points to 98.3, its lowest since August 2021 (Barron’s).

2. Declining U.S. Dollar and Emerging Market Currencies

With the dollar weakening, investors are reallocating funds to emerging market currencies, including the Indian rupee. Historically, a weaker dollar has made emerging market assets more attractive, as it reduces debt servicing costs for countries with dollar-denominated liabilities. This shift is evident in rising foreign portfolio investment (FPI) inflows into India, with net equity inflows crossing $2.5 billion in February 2025.

3. Global Interest Rate Trends and Monetary Policies

Despite earlier expectations of further hikes, the Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain interest rates at current levels has led to a decline in U.S. bond yields. As a result, investors are seeking higher returns in emerging markets. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) have also accommodated monetary policies, leading to a weaker dollar environment that benefits the rupee.

4. China’s Economic Slowdown

China, a major driver of global economic growth, has been experiencing a slowdown in industrial output and consumer demand. This has had a deflationary impact on global commodity prices, further benefiting energy-importing nations like India. Lower commodity prices reduce India’s import costs, strengthening the rupee in the process.

5. Oil-Producing Nations and OPEC Policies

OPEC’s recent decision to maintain output levels despite geopolitical tensions has contributed to the fall in crude oil prices. While this benefits importers like India, oil-exporting economies like Russia and Saudi Arabia face fiscal pressures, potentially influencing their geopolitical and trade policies.


Implications for India

  • Inflation Control: A stronger rupee makes imports cheaper, helping contain inflation. This benefits essential commodities, industrial inputs, and energy costs, reducing business production expenses.
  • Trade Balance: Lower crude oil prices offset concerns of a widened trade deficit caused by cheaper imports.
  • Foreign Investment: The rupee’s stability enhances India’s appeal to foreign investors, supporting equity and bond market inflows.

Impact on Indian Businesses

  1. Exporters: A stronger rupee makes Indian exports more expensive in global markets, potentially impacting sectors like textiles, IT services, and pharmaceuticals.
  2. Importers: Businesses reliant on imported raw materials benefit from lower costs and improved profitability.
  3. Manufacturers: Falling crude oil prices reduce input costs for industries reliant on petroleum-based products, such as chemicals and plastics.

Conclusion

The rupee’s 4 paise appreciation reflects broader global economic shifts, including a weakening U.S. dollar, declining crude oil prices, and shifting investor sentiment. While this trend provides benefits such as inflation control and lower import costs, it also poses challenges for exporters and requires businesses to adapt strategically. 

India’s currency trajectory will depend on evolving trade policies, global economic conditions, and RBI’s policy decisions.


Diamonds have long been a symbol of luxury, love, and status. However, the industry is undergoing a massive transformation as lab-grown diamonds (LGDs) gain popularity among young and conscious buyers. 

With their affordability, ethical sourcing, and sustainability, these stones are changing the traditional diamond market. Several Indian startups are ramping up investments in marketing, product expansion, and consumer education to drive awareness and boost sales.

India’s Growing Dominance in the Lab-Grown Diamond Industry

India has emerged as a leading producer of lab-grown diamonds, contributing approximately 15% of global production. With an estimated 3 million lab-grown diamonds produced annually, the country’s industry is primarily driven by major hubs like Surat and Mumbai.

In 2022, the Indian lab-grown diamond jewelry market was valued at around $264.5 million. The market is poised for substantial growth, with sales expected to rise at a CAGR of 14.8% over the next decade. By 2033, the total market size is projected to expand from $299.9 million in 2023 to $1.19 billion.

Source: Indextb.com

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Source: Indextb.com

How Lab-Grown Diamonds Are Made

Before diving into changing consumer preferences, let’s understand how they are made. Lab-grown diamonds are created using two methods: High Pressure High Temperature (HPHT) and Chemical Vapor Deposition (CVD). In HPHT, carbon is exposed to extreme heat and pressure, mimicking natural diamond formation. In CVD, a gas mixture is heated in a chamber, allowing carbon atoms to layer and form a diamond. Both methods produce real, high-quality diamonds.

A Sparkling Shift in Consumer Preferences

Some consumers are still skeptical about lab-grown diamonds, but more buyers are choosing them because they are just like mined diamonds in appearance and composition. Brands like Jewelbox and Svaraa are driving this shift, making LGDs more popular. Let’s see how these companies are leading the change and how the industry is evolving.

The Marketing Push and Spreading Awareness 

A major challenge for LGD companies is changing the mindset around synthetic diamonds. Many consumers still see mined diamonds as better, not realizing that lab-grown ones look the same. To address this, startups are investing in marketing and awareness campaigns.

  • Kolkata-based Jewelbox has nearly doubled its marketing budget over the past year, with 20% of its digital spends focused on educating consumers. Their campaigns aim to address misconceptions and highlight the benefits of LGDs. They also actively share informative videos on platforms like Instagram and YouTube, explaining the science behind lab-grown diamonds and guiding customers in choosing the right one.

Source: Mint

  • The brand recently gained widespread attention after appearing on Shark Tank India Season 3, securing commitments from notable investors like Peyush Bansal (Lenskart), Aman Gupta (boAt), Vineeta Singh (Sugar Cosmetics), Radhika Gupta (Edelweiss Mutual Fund), and Ritesh Agarwal (Oyo). This has further boosted awareness and credibility for lab-grown diamonds in India.
  • Similarly, Svaraa, a Surat-based startup, has invested ₹10 crore in marketing since its inception in 2021. The company, backed by Kalamandir Jewellers, plans to allocate another ₹20-30 crore in the next two years to strengthen its brand positioning and consumer outreach. The company believes that targeted campaigns have played a crucial role in increasing acceptance, especially in the wedding and daily-wear jewellery segments.

Source: Mint

Growing Acceptance: A New Era for Diamonds

Lab-grown diamonds are witnessing significant traction among young buyers, particularly first-time diamond purchasers and budget-conscious consumers. Brands are already seeing encouraging numbers, indicating a shift in consumer behavior.

  • Jewelbox projects that its FY26 revenue will more than double to ₹35 crore, driven by demand from millennials and Gen Z buyers. Svaraa, on the other hand, has experienced a 60% increase in inquiries and a 45% rise in sales over the past few months. The affordability factor plays a key role, as lab-grown diamonds cost 30-50% less than their mined counterparts.

Source: Mint

  • According to industry experts, these diamonds possess the same physical and chemical properties as natural diamonds, making them a compelling alternative. They believe LGDs have the potential to outperform mined diamonds in clarity and color. Gobal trends suggest rising consumer acceptance, particularly in wedding rings and high-end jewellery.
  • A recent Kotak Institutional Equities report supports this claim, indicating that Indian women are likely to incorporate both natural and lab-grown diamonds into their collections. The study attributes this trend to higher education levels, rising disposable incomes, and evolving fashion preferences. Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley projects that the global diamond certification market will grow from $600 million to $1 billion by 2028, driven by a 25% increase in lab-grown diamond certifications.

Source: Mint

Overcoming the “Not Real Diamond” Perception

Despite their growing popularity, lab-grown diamonds still face a perception challenge. Many people associate diamonds with investment value, even though historically, they have been among the least-performing asset classes. 

To counter these misconceptions, LGD brands are focusing on customer segmentation and targeted messaging. For instance, Jewelbox classifies its customers into two groups:

  1. First-time buyers looking for affordable diamond alternatives.
  2. Experienced diamond buyers seeking innovation and sustainability.

By catering to both segments without alienating either, the brand ensures a balanced market approach. It believes that aspirational value remains key, and brands must align their messaging to maintain diamonds’ desirability.

Source: Mint

The Branding Dilemma: Luxury vs. Fashion

To establish themselves in the jewellery market, LGD brands must define their positioning clearly. Industry experts highlight an important question—should lab-grown diamonds be marketed as luxury jewellery or high-end fashion accessories?

For LGDs to thrive, companies must communicate whether their product is a premium embellishment or a traditional jewellery piece with lasting value. Unlike mined diamonds, which carry an emotional and legacy factor, lab-grown diamonds need strong storytelling and brand-building strategies to create a similar connection.

Industry experts believe that the LGD industry is capital-intensive. To scale, brands need to invest in physical retail expansion, digital presence, and aggressive marketing. They highlight the importance of developing an omnichannel approach, ensuring that customers can experience LGDs both online and in-store.

Traditional Jewellers Take Notice

The rapid adoption of lab-grown diamonds has even caught the attention of traditional jewellers. Trent, the retail arm of Tata Group, launched its LGD brand ‘Pome’ last year, marking its entry into the sustainable luxury segment. While many legacy jewellers remain cautious, some are gradually testing the waters. 

Source: Mint

A Sustainable Luxury Revolution

Lab-grown diamonds are on the rise as awareness campaigns highlight their ethical, sustainable, and cost benefits, attracting more buyers.

Brands like Jewelbox and Svaraa are seeing success with increasing sales, loyal customers, and stronger recognition. The industry is at a turning point, and companies that invest in branding, clear messaging, and consumer education will lead.

With growing acceptance, the question is no longer about their authenticity but their role in the market. Will they redefine luxury jewelry or stay a niche option? One thing is certain—lab-grown diamonds are shaping the future of the industry.

FAQ

  1. What’s driving the growth of India’s lab-grown diamond market?

    Strong marketing, affordability, and ethical sourcing are key factors. Rising consumer awareness and export demand fuel the industry’s rapid expansion.

  2. How does the price of lab-grown diamonds compare to natural diamonds?

    Lab-grown diamonds are significantly more affordable, typically 30-40% cheaper, making them a popular choice for budget-conscious consumers seeking similar brilliance.

  3. Is the quality of lab-grown diamonds comparable to natural diamonds?

    Yes, lab-grown diamonds possess identical physical, chemical, and optical properties to natural diamonds, offering the same sparkle and durability.

  4. What are the environmental benefits of lab-grown diamonds?

    Lab-grown diamonds are considered more sustainable, avoiding the environmental impact of traditional mining and often using renewable energy sources.

  5. What is the projected market size of India’s lab-grown diamond industry by 2033?

    The market is projected to reach $1.19 billion by 2033, driven by increasing consumer demand and strong export potential, showing strong growth.

On March 3, 2025, the Indian government granted Navratna status to IRCTC and IRFC, marking a significant leap for these railway giants. This upgrade isn’t just a title—it unlocks greater financial freedom, faster decision-making, and the ability to expand without constant government approvals.

With this move, the government is pushing for stronger, more self-reliant public enterprises that can compete with private and global competitors. But what does this mean for IRCTC, IRFC, and the railway sector as a whole? Let’s break down the impact of this renewed status.

Key takeaways from this development include

  • Increased Competitive Edge: With greater financial and operational independence, IRCTC and IRFC can enhance service delivery and profitability.
  • Potential for Foreign Investments: Enhanced status may attract international investors seeking stable, growth-oriented PSU stocks.
  • Boost to Railway Modernization: The additional flexibility will aid infrastructure expansion, technological advancements, and service improvements within the railway sector.

Stock Market Performance Post-Navratna Announcement

Following the Navratna upgrade, IRCTC and IRFC witnessed mixed reactions in the stock market. As of March 4, 2025:

  • IRFC: At 11:15 AM, the share price was quoted at ₹115.35, marking a 3.8% increase from the previous close. The market capitalization stood at ₹1.5 lakh crore. However, the stock has decreased 23% over the past year, 35% in six months, and 24% year-to-date.
  • IRCTC: The stock rose by 0.8% to ₹681.50, with a market capitalization of ₹54,276 crore. The stock has fallen 28% in a year and 14% year-to-date, reflecting market volatility despite strong financial performance.

These fluctuations are influenced by broader market trends, sector-specific developments, and investor sentiment regarding railway stocks. Source: timesofindia.indiatimes.com

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Source: NSE

Understanding Navratna Status

The term ‘Navratna’ translates to ‘nine gems’ in Sanskrit, but in the context of Indian public sector enterprises, it represents a classification introduced by the government in 1997. This designation is awarded to Central Public Sector Enterprises (CPSEs) that exhibit exceptional financial performance and managerial efficiency. Achieving Navratna status allows these companies greater autonomy in investment decisions, enabling them to compete more effectively in the global market. Source: indianexpress.com

Eligibility Criteria for Navratna Status

To be eligible for Navratna status, a CPSE must first be a Miniratna Category-I company. Additionally, it must have obtained an ‘Excellent’ or ‘Very Good’ Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) rating in three of the preceding five years. The company must also achieve a composite score of 60 or more across six performance indicators:

  1. Net Profit to Net Worth: This ratio assesses the profitability relative to the shareholders’ equity.
  2. Manpower Cost to Total Cost of Production or Cost of Services: Evaluate the efficiency of human resource expenses in relation to overall production or service costs.
  3. Profit Before Depreciation, Interest, and Taxes (PBDIT) to Capital Employed: Measures the company’s operational profitability against the capital invested.
  4. Profit Before Interest and Taxes (PBIT) to Turnover: Indicates the efficiency of earnings generated from sales before accounting for interest and taxes.
  5. Earnings Per Share (EPS): Reflects the company’s profitability on a per-share basis, indicating value to shareholders.
  6. Inter-Sectoral Performance: Compares the company’s performance relative to other sectors.

Each indicator is assigned a specific weight, and the cumulative score determines the eligibility for Navratna status. Source: indianexpress.com

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Source: NSE

Benefits of Navratna Status

Achieving Navratna status provides CPSEs with several key advantages:

  • Enhanced Investment Autonomy: Navratna companies can invest up to ₹1,000 crore or 15% of their net worth on a single project without seeking prior government approval. This autonomy facilitates quicker decision-making and project implementation.
  • Operational Flexibility: These companies can form joint ventures, establish subsidiaries, and engage in mergers and acquisitions. Such flexibility enables them to diversify their portfolios and expand their domestic and international market presence.
  • Financial Independence: With reduced bureaucratic oversight, Navratna PSUs can strategize and execute business plans more efficiently, aligning with market dynamics and shareholder expectations.

IRCTC: A Glimpse into Its Financials

Established in 1999, IRCTC is the exclusive entity authorized to provide online railway ticketing, catering, and tourism services for the Indian Railways. In the financial year 2023-24, IRCTC reported:

  • Annual Turnover: ₹4,270.18 crore
  • Profit After Tax (PAT): ₹1,111.26 crore
  • Net Worth: ₹3,229.97 crore

These robust financials underscore IRCTC’s pivotal role in enhancing passenger convenience and contributing to the revenue stream of Indian Railways. Source: Livemint

IRFC: Financial Backbone of Indian Railways

Founded in 1986, IRFC is the dedicated financing arm of the Indian Railways, responsible for raising funds to support the national transporter’s expansion and modernization initiatives. For the fiscal year 2023-24, IRFC’s financial highlights include:

  • Annual Turnover: ₹26,644 crore
  • Profit After Tax (PAT): ₹6,412 crore
  • Net Worth: ₹49,178 crore

IRFC’s strategic financial interventions have been instrumental in the timely execution of numerous railway projects, thereby bolstering the infrastructure and service quality of Indian Railways. Source: Livemint

Future Prospects for IRCTC and IRFC

The conferment of Navratna status is poised to usher in a new era of growth and efficiency for both IRCTC and IRFC:

  • Strategic Investments: With the autonomy to invest substantial sums without prior approval, both entities can swiftly capitalize on emerging opportunities, be it in technology upgrades, service diversification, or infrastructure development.
  • Global Expansion: The enhanced operational flexibility allows these companies to explore international markets, form global partnerships, and benchmark their services against international standards, elevating global competitiveness.
  • Shareholder Value: Increased autonomy and potential growth will likely enhance investor confidence, potentially leading to improved market valuations and shareholder returns.

Other Navratna PSUs in the Railway Sector

With the inclusion of IRCTC and IRFC, all seven listed CPSEs under the Ministry of Railways have attained Navratna status. The other five are:

  1. Container Corporation of India (CONCOR): Specializes in multimodal logistics and freight transport.
  2. Rail Vikas Nigam Limited (RVNL): Focuses on creating and auguring rail infrastructure.
  3. IRCON International: Engaged in engineering and construction of railway projects domestically and internationally.
  4. RITES Limited: Provides consultancy services in transport infrastructure.
  5. RailTel Corporation of India: Manages railway telecommunications and broadband services.

These companies collectively contribute to the modernization and expansion of the Indian railway ecosystem, reinforcing its position as one of the world’s largest rail networks.

Conclusion

Granting Navratna status to IRCTC and IRFC is a transformative step in the Indian railway sector. It reinforces these PSUs’ financial strength and strategic importance while providing them with the necessary autonomy to pursue aggressive growth plans. As these companies leverage their enhanced status to expand operations, improve efficiency, and explore new markets, their impact on India’s transport and logistics infrastructure will likely be substantial. Investors and stakeholders will closely watch how these enterprises capitalize on their new designation to shape the future of Indian Railways.

The trade war initiated by former U.S. President Donald Trump significantly altered global trade patterns, affecting multiple economies, including India. The conflict began in 2018 when the Trump administration imposed tariffs on Chinese imports, citing concerns over intellectual property theft, forced technology transfers, and the widening trade deficit. These measures soon expanded to include tariffs on Mexico and Canada, sparking retaliatory actions from affected nations.

By 2025, the repercussions of these protectionist policies will continue to shape international trade, affecting businesses, supply chains, and economies worldwide. While the direct conflict involved the U.S., China, Mexico, and Canada, the ripple effects extended to emerging economies like India, influencing export opportunities, investment flows, and overall market dynamics.

Tariffs Imposed by the US

The Trump administration adopted an aggressive stance by imposing high tariffs on imports from its key trading partners:

  • China: In 2018, tariffs on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods were initially set at 10% and later increased to 25%. In 2025, an additional tariff hike raised duties on critical Chinese exports like electronics, textiles, and machinery to 30%.
  • Mexico and Canada: The U.S. levied a 25% tariff on steel and a 10% tariff on aluminum imports from these two North American partners, which strained trade relations and led to countermeasures from both countries.
  • Other Countries: The U.S. also imposed global tariffs on products such as solar panels, washing machines, and automobiles, affecting various nations reliant on the American market.
U.S. Tariffs and Retaliatory Measures (2018–2025)
YearU.S. Tariffs on China (%)U.S. Tariffs on Mexico (%)U.S. Tariffs on Canada (%)China’s Retaliation (%)Mexico’s Retaliation (%)Canada’s Retaliation (%)
201810% on $200B goods25% on steel, 10% on aluminum25% on steel, 10% on aluminum5%-10% on U.S. soybeans, cars, chemicals5%-15% on pork, apples, whiskey10%-25% on dairy, steel, aluminum
2019Increased to 25%25% on all steel imports25% on all steel imports25% on U.S. goods worth $60B20% on key U.S. exports25% on U.S. exports
202025%-30% on additional goodsNo new tariffsNo new tariffsTariffs sustainedNo new tariffsNo new tariffs
202130% on electronics, textiles10%-15% on auto parts10%-15% on aluminum products20%-30% on U.S. goods15%-20% on U.S. goods10%-15% on U.S. goods
2022Tariffs remain highNo major changesNo major changesNo major changesNo major changesNo major changes
202530% on electronics, 35% on key industrial goods15% on auto parts15% on aluminum, 10% on energy exports35% on U.S. exports25% on key U.S. imports25% on steel, food, and U.S. goods
Source: USTR, Chinese Ministry of Commerce, Statista, WTO reports (2018–2025).

Reciprocal Tariffs by China, Canada

In response, the affected nations imposed counter-tariffs on U.S. goods:

  • China: Raised duties on U.S. agricultural products, automobiles, and chemicals, targeting states that were politically crucial for the Trump administration.
  • Mexico: Imposed tariffs on key U.S. exports such as pork, apples, and whiskey, impacting American farmers and businesses.
  • Canada: Responded with tariffs on U.S. dairy products, steel, and aluminum, intensifying economic tensions between the two nations.

These retaliatory measures disrupted global supply chains, forcing companies to seek alternative suppliers and leading to price hikes in several industries.

Impact on India

India, although not directly targeted, felt the impact of the trade wars in multiple ways, both positive and negative:

1. Export Growth and Trade Diversion

One of the unintended benefits for India was the increase in exports to the U.S. due to trade diversion. With tariffs making Chinese products more expensive, American importers turned to Indian suppliers for goods like:

  • Textiles and Apparel: India’s textile exports to the U.S. surged as Chinese products faced higher duties.
  • Engineering Goods: The U.S. increasingly sourced auto components and machinery from India.
  • Pharmaceuticals: Indian pharma companies expanded their presence in the U.S. as Chinese competitors struggled with tariff constraints.

According to Trading Economics, India’s exports to the U.S. rose from $54.3 billion in 2019 to $85.5 billion in 2024, reflecting the shifting trade patterns.

2. Market Volatility and Currency Fluctuations

The imposition of tariffs led to heightened market uncertainty, triggering fluctuations in stock markets worldwide. The Indian stock market saw periods of volatility, with the Nifty 50 index reacting sharply to trade-related developments. However, despite initial shocks, the Indian rupee demonstrated resilience, aided by strong foreign exchange reserves and supportive monetary policies.

3. Increased Cost of Raw Materials

While Indian exports benefited from the trade war, specific industries faced higher input costs due to increased global tariffs:

  • Electronics Manufacturing: India imports key components from China, and higher tariffs led to costlier inputs.
  • Automobiles: Rising steel and aluminum prices impacted car manufacturing costs in India.
  • Consumer Goods: Indian businesses that relied on Chinese imports for intermediate goods faced increased expenses, affecting profitability.

4. Impact on India’s Aviation Industry

The war also had repercussions on India’s aviation sector, primarily due to rising costs and disruptions in global supply chains:

  • Aircraft and Component Costs: India’s airline industry relies heavily on aircraft and components from U.S.-based manufacturers like Boeing. Higher tariffs on raw materials like aluminum increased aircraft production costs, leading to higher prices for Indian airlines.
  • Fuel Price Volatility: Trade tensions contributed to global crude oil price fluctuations, directly affecting aviation turbine fuel (ATF) costs, a significant airline expense.
  • Supply Chain Disruptions: Imposing tariffs on China impacted the availability of key aircraft components, delaying aircraft deliveries and increasing maintenance costs.
  • Passenger Traffic and Pricing: Rising operational costs forced Indian airlines to adjust fares, affecting travelers’ affordability and demand in domestic and international segments.

5. Strategic Trade Negotiations

India actively pursued trade deals to capitalize on the shifting global landscape. Key developments included:

  • Bilateral Trade Talks: India engaged in trade discussions with the European Union and the United Kingdom, seeking preferential access to these markets.
  • Strengthening U.S. Trade Relations: India leveraged the trade war to expand its footprint in the American market, negotiating favorable terms for its exports.

Conclusion

The Trump-led trade war had far-reaching consequences, affecting the nations and economies directly involved, such as India. While some sectors face increased competition and market volatility, others stand to gain from diverted trade flows and new export opportunities. 

As the world adapts to evolving trade dynamics, India’s strategic engagement in international trade negotiations and ability to adapt to these changing dynamics will be crucial in leveraging the potential benefits of this global economic shift.

In the bustling streets of India’s cities, a new kind of shopping experience has taken root: quick commerce, or Q-commerce. This model promises ultra-fast delivery of essentials, often within minutes, catering to the ever-increasing demand for speed and convenience. 

Leading the charge are platforms like Blinkit, Zepto, and Swiggy Instamart. Now, global e-commerce titan Amazon is gearing up to challenge these players with its own secret weapon – “Amazon Now”.

Source: Economic Times

This move positions Amazon alongside rapid delivery services from companies like Zomato’s Blinkit and Swiggy’s Instamart, which offer deliveries as quickly as 10 minutes.

The Rise of Quick Commerce in India

India’s quick commerce industry has experienced extraordinary growth, with sales soaring by over 280% in the past two years, according to a report by financial services firm Chryseum. As of 2024, the sector was valued at USD 3.3 billion and is expected to expand significantly, reaching USD 9.95 billion by 2029. 

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Source: Economic Times

This growth is driven by a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 4.5% during the forecast period (2024-2029), which highlights the increasing consumer demand for ultra-fast delivery services.

Amazon’s Foray into Quick Commerce

Recognizing the potential of this growing market, Amazon initiated trials for its quick commerce service, ‘Amazon Now,’ in early 2024. The initial pilot was launched in Whitefield, Bengaluru—an area where Amazon enjoys high customer density, particularly among its Prime subscribers. The company set up four dark stores to manage local deliveries and soon scaled operations to 2,000 daily orders.

After laying the groundwork throughout 2024, and a limited launch in January-February, Amazon is now scaling up Amazon Now. The company plans to establish 300 dark stores across India’s top three cities—Delhi-NCR, Mumbai, and Bengaluru—by the end of 2025.

According to sources, the number of dark stores had grown to five by last week, with an immediate goal of reaching 100 stores within the next three to six months. Amazon’s next step will be expanding Amazon Now to more areas within Bengaluru.

Source: Economic Times/Business Standard

How Amazon’s Quick Commerce Model Works

The company’s quick commerce approach is similar to that of existing players. Each dark store caters to a 2-3 km radius, ensuring delivery within 10-15 minutes. The average order value is around INR 550, with a strong focus on grocery essentials—just like Blinkit, Zepto, and Instamart.

However, it has a unique advantage—its extensive Prime membership base. With an estimated 16-20 million Prime users in India, Amazon already has access to a massive pool of urban, convenience-driven shoppers.  These users comprise over half of India’s 30 million quick-commerce buyers. Leveraging its vast data and AI capabilities, Amazon is poised to personalize and optimize its offerings better than its competitors. Source: Economic Times

The Power of Prime: Amazon’s Secret Weapon

Amazon’s Prime subscribers could be the key to its quick commerce success. In the Whitefield pilot, Amazon opened ‘Amazon Now’ access to only 1% of its Prime customers. Even at this limited scale, the results were promising. The giant’s quick commerce business could grow exponentially once the service expands to all Prime users.

Source: Economic Times

Changing Approach in India

Despite being one of the biggest brand names, it wasn’t all smooth sailing for Amazon, as the company faced its fair share of challenges. By mid-2024, Amazon reached a critical point in India, struggling with growing regulatory hurdles and a shifting political landscape. 

The global e-commerce giant was forced to reassess its strategy—once known for its aggressive expansion, it adopted a more cautious approach. Regulatory changes compelled Amazon to distance itself from the large sellers it had previously depended on, resulting in layoffs and leadership reshuffles.

Despite these hurdles, Amazon pushed forward. It launched ‘Bazaar,’ a low-price merchandise business, to counter Meesho’s dominance in the unbranded, value-commerce space. 

The Team Driving Growth Now

Amazon has assembled a top-tier team to lead its quick commerce division. To build this new business, Amazon aggressively hires across multiple functions, including planning, forecasting, customer acquisition, business analytics, and product management. Many hires are sourced from Amazon’s existing Grocery and Everyday Essentials teams.

Why Quick Commerce Now?

Amazon, like Flipkart and BigBasket, initially underestimated the quick commerce trend. The company viewed it as a passing phase, believing that traditional e-commerce with scheduled deliveries would remain dominant. However, as market leaders like Blinkit and Zepto scaled rapidly, Amazon realized it needed to adapt.

One of the reasons for Amazon’s slow entry was its decision-making structure. Unlike its startup-style competitors, Amazon India’s major business moves require approval from its Seattle headquarters. This resulted in a long lead time from conceptualization to execution. Despite this slow start, Amazon is now fully committed to catching up. thearcweb.com

The Competitive Landscape and Amazon’s Strategy

Amazon’s biggest challenge is that it is starting behind well-established players. Zomato Blinkit handles around 1.2 million daily orders, Zepto processes 1.1 million, Swiggy Instamart serves 900,000, and Tata BigBasket delivers 300,000. Flipkart, Amazon’s direct rival, has also entered quick commerce, crossing 100,000 orders per day.

What changed Amazon’s mind? Blinkit’s financial performance played a role. The company reported an adjusted EBITDA-positive quarter in March 2024, proving that quick commerce could be profitable. Blinkit posted INR 769 crore in revenue with a loss of just INR 37 crore for the January-March 2024 quarter, showing significant growth and improved unit economics.

Source: Economic Times

Amazon believes it has certain advantages that will help it succeed despite its late entry:

  1. Prime Subscriber Base – With millions of loyal Prime users, Amazon already has a built-in customer base for quick commerce.
  2. Tech and AI Capabilities – Amazon’s data-driven approach could improve inventory management and demand forecasting.
  3. Logistics Strength – While Amazon is a logistics powerhouse, it partnered with last-mile delivery firm LoadShare for quick commerce fulfillment.
  4. Focus on Urban Markets – Amazon expects a major shift in delivery preferences in metro cities, making quick commerce an essential part of its future strategy.

Looking Beyond India: Amazon’s Global Quick Commerce Plans

Interestingly, Amazon’s quick commerce expansion isn’t limited to India. The India team is also playing a role in developing similar operations in the UAE and Saudi Arabia. This suggests that Amazon sees quick commerce as a global opportunity, not just an Indian market trend.

Challenges Ahead

Despite its strengths, Amazon faces notable challenges in this competitive landscape:

  1. Established Competitors: Players like Blinkit, Zepto, and Swiggy Instamart have already captured substantial market share and have fine-tuned their operations to cater to local preferences.
  2. Operational Complexity: Quick commerce demands meticulous coordination between inventory management, order processing, and last-mile delivery. Ensuring seamless operations at scale will be a critical test for Amazon.
  3. Regulatory Environment: Navigating India’s regulatory landscape requires compliance with various laws and guidelines, necessitating a strategic approach to align with local regulations.

Can Amazon Win the Quick Commerce Race?

Amazon has already invested over $6.5 billion in India. With quick commerce gaining traction, it cannot afford to sit on the sidelines. The company is betting that the demand for instant deliveries will only grow, particularly in urban areas. However, success in this space will require rapid expansion, aggressive customer acquisition, and efficient operations.

The challenge? Competition is fierce, and Blinkit, Zepto, and Swiggy Instamart have a strong first-mover advantage. Amazon must scale quickly while ensuring profitability—something even established players struggle with.

Despite these hurdles, Amazon’s deep pockets, technological expertise, and loyal Prime user base could make it a formidable player in the quick commerce battle. If it executes its strategy well, Amazon Now could soon become a major contender in India’s instant delivery revolution.

FAQ

  1. What are Amazon’s dark stores?

    They’re small, localized warehouses optimized for rapid delivery, not customer visits. Amazon uses them to fulfill quick commerce orders, competing with existing players.

  2. Why is Amazon entering the quick commerce market?

    The market’s projected $9.95 billion value by 2029 presents a significant growth opportunity. Amazon aims to capture a share by leveraging its logistics and reach.

  3. How does Amazon’s strategy differ from existing quick commerce giants? 

    Amazon leverages its existing infrastructure and vast product selection, while others focus on hyper-local, limited assortments, and often, exclusive partnerships with local vendors.

  4. What impact will Amazon’s entry have on the quick commerce market?

    Increased competition, potentially driving down prices and improving delivery times. It could also consolidate the market, with Amazon’s scale posing a challenge to smaller players.

  5. What does the $9.95 billion market projection signify?

    It indicates strong consumer demand for ultra-fast delivery. This growth is driven by changing consumer habits and the increasing convenience of online shopping.

Global financial markets are grappling with heightened volatility as a series of economic and geopolitical events unfold. From trade tensions and inflation worries to shifting monetary policies, investors worldwide are navigating a period of uncertainty.

The latest blow came from U.S. President Donald Trump’s decision to impose 25% tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico, effective immediately. This move triggered a sharp sell-off on Wall Street, with the S&P 500 falling 1.8%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropping 649 points (1.5%), and the Nasdaq Composite plunging 2.6%. Beyond the U.S., Asian and European markets also reacted, reflecting concerns about trade disruptions, slowing growth, and inflationary pressures.

Here’s a breakdown of the seven key reasons why global markets are on edge, with a special focus on India’s economic outlook.

Trump’s Tariffs and the Escalating Trade War

The U.S. administration’s imposition of 25% tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico marks a significant escalation in global trade tensions. Trump has also announced plans to increase tariffs on Chinese imports from 10% to 20%, signaling further disruption in supply chains.

  • Immediate Market Impact: U.S. stocks tumbled, with the S&P 500 posting its worst daily drop since December 18.
  • Global Reaction: Asian markets followed suit—Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell 1.03%, South Korea’s Kospi dropped 0.41%, and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng indicated a weaker opening.
  • Canada’s Retaliation: Canada announced counter-tariffs on $107 billion worth of U.S. goods, further complicating North American trade relations.

For India, these developments could present opportunities and risks. While Indian exporters might benefit from a shift in global supply chains, rising trade barriers could also lead to increased import costs and inflationary pressures.

Source: AP News

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Source: Yahoo! Finance

2. Inflation Concerns and Interest Rate Uncertainty

With inflation persisting in major economies, central banks are walking a fine line between controlling price rises and sustaining economic growth.

  • U.S. Inflation: While consumer prices have eased slightly, inflation remains a primary concern for the Federal Reserve, limiting its ability to cut interest rates.
  • European Inflation Trends: In contrast, easing inflation in Europe has led to expectations that the European Central Bank might announce an interest rate cut.
  • India’s Inflation Risks: Rising commodity prices and a weaker rupee could drive inflation higher, impacting household spending and corporate profitability.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) will need to balance inflation control with economic growth, influencing future monetary policy decisions.

3. Weakening Economic Growth in the U.S.

A series of disappointing economic reports from the U.S. have added to market jitters:

  • Manufacturing Slowdown: The U.S. Manufacturing PMI slipped to 50.3 in February from 50.9 in January, indicating slower factory activity.
  • Job Market Pressures: Layoffs in key sectors are raising concerns about economic resilience.

If the U.S. economy slows further, global trade and investments could take a hit, affecting emerging markets like India.
Source: The Mint

4. Stock Market Volatility and Tech Sector Losses

The recent downturn has hit high-growth stocks particularly hard:

  • Nvidia plunged 8.8% following the broader market slump.
  • Tesla fell 2.8%, adding to its recent struggles.
  • Amazon, Microsoft, and Intel also faced declines, reflecting investor caution in the technology sector.

Given India’s increasing reliance on foreign institutional investors (FIIs), a prolonged global market correction could lead to further outflows from Indian equities.

5. U.S. Dollar Strength and Currency Fluctuations

The U.S. dollar’s strength has put pressure on emerging market currencies, including the Indian rupee.

  • The Indian Rupee’s Volatility: The currency has been fluctuating amid foreign investor sell-offs.
  • Import Costs and Trade Deficit: A stronger dollar makes imports more expensive, increasing India’s trade deficit.

For India, currency stability remains a crucial factor in maintaining investor confidence and controlling inflation.

6. Geopolitical Risks: U.S.-Ukraine Policy Shift

The U.S. has paused military aid to Ukraine, signaling a shift in foreign policy that could have broader geopolitical ramifications.

  • Potential Impact on Global Energy Markets: If geopolitical tensions escalate, oil prices could spike, increasing energy costs for countries like India.
  • Investor Uncertainty: Markets are wary of sudden policy shifts that could affect global trade and financial stability.

India, as a major oil importer, will need to manage energy costs carefully to avoid inflationary shocks.
Source: The Mint

7. Indian Stock Market Outlook Amid Global Sell-Off

The Indian equity market has not been immune to global volatility:

  • Sensex fell 112 points, closing at 73,085.94.
  • Nifty 50 dropped 5.40 points, ending at 22,119.30.
  • Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) Outflows: Over $26 billion has exited Indian stocks since October.
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Source: NSE

Despite these headwinds, certain Indian sectors could find growth opportunities:

Pharmaceuticals – Rising demand for alternatives to Chinese drug suppliers.
Auto Components & Electronics – Potential supply chain shifts benefiting Indian manufacturers.
Textiles – Increased exports to the U.S. due to higher tariffs on Chinese goods.

Conclusion

Global markets are navigating a period of uncertainty fueled by trade tensions, inflation worries, and shifting economic policies. While the immediate reaction has been a sell-off across major indices, long-term opportunities may emerge for markets that adapt to changing trade dynamics.

For India, the key lies in strengthening trade partnerships, enhancing export competitiveness, and managing inflation risks. As global trends continue to evolve, India’s resilience and strategic positioning will determine how well it weathers this period of financial turbulence.

Saudi Arabia’s ambitious $63 billion Diriyah project, known as “The City of Earth,” is transforming the outskirts of Riyadh into a global cultural and tourism hub. This giga-project has garnered significant attention from international investors, notably prominent Indian conglomerates such as the Tata Group and the Oberoi Group. (Economic Times)

Diriyah: A Blend of Heritage and Modernity

Diriyah holds a special place in Saudi history as the birthplace of the Kingdom and the ancestral home of the Al Saud royal family. The development spans 14 square kilometers and is adjacent to the UNESCO World Heritage Site of At-Turaif. The project’s vision includes:

  • Residential and Commercial Spaces: Accommodating 100,000 residents and providing office spaces for an equal number of professionals. (Economic Times)
  • Hospitality and Retail: Featuring over 40 high-end hotels, more than 1,000 retail outlets, and over 150 dining venues. (Skift)
  • Cultural and Recreational Facilities: Including a university, multiple museums, arts, and cultural centers, an opera house, a 20,000-seat multipurpose event arena, a golf course, and an international equestrian and polo center. (Business Traveller)

The project aims to attract 50 million visitors annually by 2030, positioning Diriyah as a premier global destination. (FDI Intelligence)

Indian Investments: Strengthening Economic Ties

Indian companies have shown a keen interest in contributing to Diriyah’s development:

  • Tata Group: Engaged in discussions to invest in various sectors within the project. (Economic Times)
  • Oberoi Group: Exploring opportunities in the hospitality segment that align with Diriyah’s luxury tourism objectives. (Economic Times)

These collaborations reflect the growing economic partnership between India and Saudi Arabia. As of August 2023, Indian investments in the Kingdom have reached approximately $3 billion, spanning sectors such as management consultancy, construction, telecommunications, IT, financial services, and pharmaceuticals. (Embassy of India, Riyadh)

Economic Implications of Indian Involvement

The participation of Indian conglomerates in the Diriyah project is poised to yield substantial economic benefits:

  • Diversification and Growth: Investing in Diriyah allows Indian companies to diversify their portfolios and tap into the Middle Eastern market, fostering growth beyond domestic boundaries. The Middle East, particularly Saudi Arabia, is a lucrative market for Indian infrastructure, hospitality, and technology businesses.
  • Employment Opportunities: The collaboration is expected to generate significant employment across both nations. In Saudi Arabia, the construction and operational phases of Diriyah will require a skilled workforce, potentially creating thousands of jobs for Indian expatriates. Simultaneously, Indian firms involved in engineering, IT services, and project management will expand their workforce at home.
  • Boost to Indian Exports: The demand for construction materials, engineering expertise, and hospitality services will increase Indian exports to Saudi Arabia. This includes steel, cement, IT solutions, and luxury goods, benefiting Indian industries.
  • Knowledge and Technology Transfer: Indian firms bring expertise in IT, infrastructure development, and hospitality management, facilitating a mutual exchange of knowledge and technological advancements. As a global leader in digital services, India’s role in Diriyah’s smart city infrastructure could enhance digital integration in the project.
  • Strengthening Bilateral Relations: Such investments enhance diplomatic and economic ties, paving the way for future collaborations across various industries. India and Saudi Arabia are major trading partners, with bilateral trade exceeding $52 billion in 2023. Increased investments will further cement this economic relationship.
  • Long-Term Revenue Generation: Indian businesses operating in Diriyah can expect steady revenue streams from hospitality, retail, and services. Given Saudi Arabia’s vision to boost tourism revenue from 3% to 10% of its GDP by 2030, the project presents a lucrative opportunity for Indian firms. 

Projected Economic Impact: A Graphical Representation

Economic IndicatorProjected Impact
Total Investment by Indian Firms$1.5 billion
Jobs Created20,000 (10,000 in Saudi Arabia, 10,000 in India)
Annual Revenue Generation$500 million
GDP Contribution$1 billion over five years
Source: Economic Times & Indian Embassy, Riyadh 

Conclusion

Diriyah exemplifies Saudi Arabia’s commitment to preserving its rich cultural heritage while embracing modern development. The active participation of Indian corporate giants showcases the project’s global appeal and signifies a deepening of economic ties between the two nations. As Diriyah evolves, it is set to become a beacon of cultural preservation and economic prosperity, offering mutual benefits to all stakeholders involved.

India’s retail market has experienced remarkable growth over the past decade, expanding from ₹35 lakh crore in 2014 to ₹82 lakh crore in 2024, reflecting an annual growth rate of approximately 8.9%. 

This growth highlights India’s economic progress and rising consumer spending. The retail sector is set to expand further, with estimates suggesting it could exceed ₹190 lakh crore by 2034.

A report titled “Winning in Bharat: The Retail Kaleidoscope”  by Boston Consulting Group (BCG) and the Retailers Association of India (RAI) attributes this growth to India’s strong economy and its diverse, evolving consumer base. Economic Times

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Economic Times

This growth offers huge opportunities for retailers who can understand India’s diverse shoppers and changing buying habits.

4 key Factors Driving India’s Retail Growth

Several key elements have contributed to this robust expansion:

  1. Economic Prosperity: India’s consistent GDP growth has elevated disposable incomes, enabling increased consumer spending across various retail segments. The number of affluent households in India is expected to triple by 2030, creating significant opportunities in premium and luxury retail segments.
    dtnext.in
  2. Urbanization: The rapid shift towards urban living has driven the growth of modern retail stores, offering city shoppers more convenience and variety.
  3. Evolving Consumer Demographics: The increasing participation of women in the workforce and the prominence of Gen Z and millennials are reshaping consumption patterns, leading to heightened demand in categories like beauty, personal care, and fashion.
    dtnext.in
  4. Digital Adoption: The expansion of urban centers and the rise of digital technology are shaping shopping habits as consumers embrace online and offline retail experiences. The report also emphasizes the increasing significance of an omnichannel approach fueled by the growth of digital payments and online shopping. However, more than 58% of purchases still occur in physical stores.

Global Influence Meets Local Pride

Global trends and brands increasingly inspire Indian consumers. However, a strong sense of local pride also influences purchasing decisions and brand preferences. The report highlights that retailers who understand and adapt to India’s diverse demographics and contrasting consumer behaviors will have the greatest growth opportunities.

Retailers that combine deep consumer insights with sharp execution—whether online, offline, or both—can keep up with India’s rapid retail expansion and set new benchmarks for the next decade of growth.

Opportunities and Challenges

The path forward is filled with both opportunities and challenges:

  • Tier II and III Cities: These regions are emerging as new retail hubs, contributing over 50% of e-commerce transactions. Consumers in these areas exhibit a blend of aspirations and value-consciousness, prompting brands to expand aggressively beyond metros.
  • Omnichannel Strategies: The modern Indian consumer no longer distinguishes between online and offline shopping. Retailers are adopting omnichannel strategies, integrating physical stores with digital platforms to provide a seamless shopping experience.
  • Sustainability: With rising environmental consciousness, consumers actively seek eco-friendly products and ethical sourcing. Brands launching recyclable packaging and sustainable supply chains are attracting environmentally conscious shoppers.
    Economic Times Retail

Conclusion

India’s retail market is set to grow further, with estimates suggesting it could cross ₹190 lakh crore by 2034—more than double its current size. This growth offers huge opportunities for retailers who can adapt to India’s diverse consumers and changing shopping habits.

Reaching ₹82 lakh crore in 2024 shows the retail sector’s strength and ability to adapt. As it grows further, businesses must stay flexible, inclusive, and innovative to meet the needs of India’s diverse and ever-changing consumer base.

FAQs

  1. What are the primary drivers propelling India’s retail market from ₹82 Lakh Cr to ₹190 Lakh Cr by 2034?

    Key factors include E-commerce expansion, rising disposable incomes, urbanization, and a young, tech-savvy population. Increased internet penetration fuels online shopping, while higher incomes boost discretionary spending. Urban migration concentrates on consumers, and a youthful demographic embraces modern retail formats and digital platforms, driving substantial growth.

  2. How does e-commerce contribute to this projected retail market expansion?

     E-commerce democratizes access, reaching remote areas and offering vast product ranges. Digital payment adoption simplifies transactions, and personalized online experiences enhance customer engagement. Logistics improvements ensure faster deliveries, while competitive pricing attracts budget-conscious consumers. This convenience and accessibility significantly expand the market reach, contributing to the projected growth.

  3. How does rising disposable income impact India’s retail sector growth?

    Increased disposable income allows consumers to spend more on non-essential goods and services. This drives demand for premium products, fashion, electronics, and lifestyle experiences. The growing middle class seeks better quality and brand experiences, leading to higher average spending per customer and boosting overall retail revenue.

  4. How does urbanization influence the projected retail growth in India?

    Urbanization concentrates populations, creating dense consumer markets. This fosters the development of organized retail formats like malls and supermarkets. Improved infrastructure and connectivity in urban areas facilitate efficient supply chains and logistics. The concentration of consumers also attracts investments in retail infrastructure and modern shopping experiences.

  5. What role does India’s young, tech-savvy population play in this retail growth?

    India’s youthful demographic readily adopts digital technologies, driving online shopping and digital payments. Their preference for convenience and personalized experiences fuels demand for e-commerce and omnichannel retail. They are early adopters of new trends and brands, influencing broader market dynamics and accelerating retail sector growth.

The Indian stock market has endured a turbulent February, marking its worst losing streak in nearly three decades. Investors who, just a few months ago, were riding high on record-breaking market rallies have now witnessed a significant downturn. Since hitting its all-time peak of 85,978 in September, the Sensex has plunged 12,780 points, a decline of nearly 15%. Meanwhile, the Nifty has fallen 16% from its record high of 26,277.35.

February alone saw the Sensex fall by nearly 6%, closing the month at 73,198. The Nifty followed suit, tumbling by 420 points on the last trading day to settle at 22,124.70. With this, Nifty has recorded five consecutive months of declines, a phenomenon not seen since 1996.

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Source: NSE

Why is the Market Falling?

Several factors have contributed to the ongoing slump, creating a perfect storm that has led to massive wealth erosion for investors.

  1. Foreign Institutional Investors (FII) Outflows
    FIIs have been consistently pulling money out of Indian equities, a key factor behind the market decline. FIIs sold stocks worth Rs 556.56 crore on a single day in February, indicating weak global confidence in Indian markets. Meanwhile, domestic institutional investors (DIIs) stepped in, buying stocks worth Rs 1,727 crore, but their efforts were not enough to counterbalance the sell-off.
  2. Global Economic Concerns
    Trade war fears and policy uncertainties, particularly from the U.S., have added to investor anxiety. The continued rhetoric around tariffs and global economic slowdowns have made markets jittery.
  3. Sector-Specific Weakness
    The IT and auto sectors have been among the hardest hit. The Nifty IT index fell 4.2% in February, while the Nifty Auto index dropped by 3.9%. Concerns about a U.S. slowdown, deal deferrals, and weak earnings have contributed to the IT sector’s underperformance. Similarly, auto stocks have suffered due to sluggish demand and increasing input costs.
  4. Technical Breakdown
    The Nifty broke through crucial support levels, plunging below 22,200. Technical analysts now predict that a failure to hold the 21,800–22,000 range could trigger another sharp decline. Source: India Today

The Numbers Behind the Sell-Off

  • Sensex: Down by 12,780 points from its all-time high, a 15% decline.
  • Nifty: It dropped by 4,150 points from its peak, losing 16% overall.
  • Market Wealth Erosion: Investors lost approximately Rs 9 lakh crore in a single day of trading.
  • NSE Statistics: Out of 2,972 stocks traded, 2,416 closed in the red, while only 489 managed to advance. A staggering 789 stocks hit their 52-week lows.
  • Longest Losing Streak Since 1996: Five consecutive months of decline have pushed the market into uncharted territory, with the last similar streak occurring between July and November 1996.

Source: Economic Times

Top 5 Gainers (as on 28 February, 2025)

SymbolOpenHighLowPrev. CloseLTP%chngVolumeValue
HDFCBANK1,685.001,737.251,685.001,700.701,730.151.862,72,58,36446,91,55,54,649.05
SHRIRAMFIN609.95620602.25606.86191.732,37,71,83414,59,02,58,367.50
COALINDIA366.80375.75365.30363.85368.501.512,18,99,4788,12,96,09,488.30
TRENT4,760.004,876.404,715.004,805.304,838.650.9621,78,60410,47,97,44,203.15
HINDALCO630636.6619.45631.956340.381,30,41,1858,22,31,92,748.30
Source: NSE

HDFC Bank

HDFC Bank is India’s largest private sector bank by assets and market capitalization. It offers various financial services, including retail banking, corporate banking, and wealth management. Known for its strong asset quality and digital banking initiatives, it remains a key player in India’s banking sector.

    Shriram Finance

    Shriram Finance is a leading non-banking financial company (NBFC) specializing in retail lending. It provides vehicle loans, small business loans, and personal finance solutions, catering primarily to underserved markets. Its focus on rural and semi-urban segments drives its growth.

      Coal India

      Coal India Limited (CIL) is the world’s largest coal producer, supplying over 80% of India’s coal requirements. A state-owned enterprise, it plays a crucial role in India’s energy sector, powering thermal power plants and industries. Despite growing clean energy initiatives, coal remains a critical resource for India’s economy.

        Trent

        Trent Ltd., a subsidiary of the Tata Group, is a leading retail operator in India. The company operates a diverse portfolio of retail formats, including department stores, hypermarkets, supermarkets, and specialty stores. Trent’s flagship brands are Westside, a popular fashion retailer, and Star Bazaar, a hypermarket chain.

        The company also operates Landmark, a family entertainment store offering books, toys, and sports merchandise. The company operates online and physical stores, providing customers with convenient shopping options. With its strong brand presence and extensive product offerings, Trent has become a major player in the Indian retail landscape.

          Hindalco Industries Ltd.

          Hindalco Industries Ltd. is a flagship company of the Aditya Birla Group. The Co and its subsidiaries are primarily engaged in the production of Aluminium and Copper. With a global footprint and operations across the aluminum value chain, Hindalco serves diverse industries like construction, transportation, packaging, and consumer goods. The company’s commitment to sustainability and innovation and its focus on operational excellence position it as a key player in the aluminum market.

            Top 5 Losers (as on 28 February, 2025)

            SymbolOpenHighLowPrev. CloseLTP%chngVolumeValue
            TECHM1,570.001,572.901,478.401,588.251,485.95-6.3241,55,9926,24,26,47,827.15
            WIPRO294.00294.00277.00294.50278.50-5.721,74,58,8394,90,25,04,059.10
            INDUSINDBK1,040.001,040.65970.101,046.70972.30-5.415,56,66,74555,12,44,38,402.30
            M&M2,695.102,699.002,572.202,726.552,595.00-5.1975,49,86319,66,03,15,531.70
            BHARTIARTL1,641.951,648.451,559.501,650.401,569.10-4.861,36,40,21121,57,06,35,492.60
            Source: NSE

            Tech Mahindra

            Tech Mahindra is a leading IT services and consulting company specializing in digital transformation, AI, and cloud solutions. It serves global clients across the telecom, healthcare, and banking industries, leveraging its expertise in emerging technologies.

              Wipro

              Wipro is one of India’s top IT services firms, offering cloud computing, cybersecurity, and AI solutions. Its strong global presence serves diverse industries, focusing on innovation and automation to drive business transformation.

                IndusInd Bank

                IndusInd Bank is a major private sector bank in India, known for its strong retail and corporate banking portfolio. It provides various financial services, including personal loans, vehicle financing, and treasury operations, focusing on digital banking.

                  Mahindra & Mahindra

                  Mahindra & Mahindra is a leading Indian multinational in automotive and farm equipment manufacturing. Known for its SUVs, tractors, and electric vehicles, the company is dominant in India’s automobile and agribusiness sectors.

                    Bharti Airtel

                    Bharti Airtel is one of India’s largest telecom providers, offering mobile, broadband, and digital services. It has a strong presence in India, Africa, and South Asia, focusing on 5G expansion, digital payments, and content-driven services.

                      Is a Rebound Possible?

                      Despite the persistent weakness, some market participants believe a short-term rebound could be in the cards. Oversold conditions and technical indicators suggest that Nifty may be nearing a point of capitulation.

                      Historically, March has been a positive month for Indian markets. Over the last 10 years, Nifty has ended March in the green seven times, suggesting seasonal trends could provide some relief. However, with no clear trend drivers and continued global uncertainties, volatility will likely remain high in the near term. Source: Economic Times

                      Conclusion

                      The Indian stock market is experiencing one of its worst phases in nearly three decades, with relentless selling and fading investor confidence. While historical data indicates that markets may recover in March, external factors such as global economic conditions and FII sentiment will be crucial in determining the next move. For now, the only certainty is uncertainty.

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                      What is an Investment Advisory Firm?

                      An investment advisory firm is a company that helps investors make decisions about buying and selling securities (like stocks) in exchange for a fee. They can advise clients directly or provide advisory reports and other publications about specific securities, such as high growth stock recommendations. Some firms use both methods, like Research & Ranking, India’s leading stock advisory company, specializing in smart investments and long-term stocks since 2015.

                      An investment advisory firm is a company that helps investors make decisions about buying and selling securities (like stocks) in exchange for a fee. They can advise clients directly or provide advisory reports and other publications about specific securities, such as high growth stock recommendations. Some firms use both methods, like Research & Ranking, India’s leading stock advisory company, specializing in smart investments and long-term stocks since 2015.

                      An investment advisory firm is a company that helps investors make decisions about buying and selling securities (like stocks) in exchange for a fee. They can advise clients directly or provide advisory reports and other publications about specific securities, such as high growth stock recommendations. Some firms use both methods, like Research & Ranking, India’s leading stock advisory company, specializing in smart investments and long-term stocks since 2015.

                      An investment advisory firm is a company that helps investors make decisions about buying and selling securities (like stocks) in exchange for a fee. They can advise clients directly or provide advisory reports and other publications about specific securities, such as high growth stock recommendations. Some firms use both methods, like Research & Ranking, India’s leading stock advisory company, specializing in smart investments and long-term stocks since 2015.